Posted in
Daily Report
By: Tom Gentile
on March 20th, 2023
The Federal Reserve is schedules to make their latest decision on whether to hike interest rates and if so by how much this week.
The 2-year fight against inflation persists and the expectations of yet another Fed rate hike this week was a virtual slam dunk, (thought a phrase to go along with March Madness night have been appropriate here).
The expectations are for a quarter of a point hike, but that number was expected to be higher than that before the regional banking crisis kicked in.
There were some news items out there stating many expected the Fed to even PAUSE and not offer up a rate hike this week – Goldman Sachs was the one named not expecting a hike. The pause does not seem likely.
Regional Bank Recovery Plans
Many recovery efforts are being enacted such as financial loans form larger banks to aid the smaller regional banks like JPMorgan offering to help First Republic, New York Community Bancorp looks to have agreed to buy Signature Bank, and just this weekend UBS bought Credit Suisse, a move facilitated by Swiss regulators to stop the banking crisis from spreading globally.
The Challenge Ahead for the Fed.
Along with the concern of if they raise and how much beings the regional banks are in trouble they still have to try and stave off inflation.
The Fed is anticipated to release a set of quarterly economic projections that will indicate how high they expect borrowing costs to climb this year.
This is going to be one of the mist unpredictable central bank gathering in a number of years.
While we all await the decision and all the commentary to come with it one has to decide if they want to initiate any new positions/option trades, bullish or bearish.
Morning Reports Lists
We aren’t in the options recommendation business as we are not Registered Investment Advisors, but we can educate you on how to trade options once you and your brokers decide to engage in options trading.
The morning reports lists shows the options activity going on right now.
It shows where the option activity is for both calls and puts.
Whether one decides to buy, or sell is their business, but in order to engage in trading options you must first decide which security to trade options on.
A more conservative approach is to wait until after the Fed makes its decisions and provides its outlook on matters going forward.
For those inclined to see options activity prior here are the lists as they stand right now:
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Disclaimers
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This is neither an offer to buy/sell/ or recommend a particular stock or option.
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