Where to Focus: The Ups and Downs of Stock Market Averages

Tom Gentile

Posted in
Big Picture

By: Tom Gentile
March 25th, 2022

2 mins read

The markets have endured despite all that’s going on in the world. The two biggest issues it seems are the Russia Ukraine war and on the home front the prospects of multiple more short-term interest rate hikes which could be of the half-basis point variety starting as early as May has caused the market to trade in a back-and-forth manner: up one day, down the next.

The trends, higher and lower haven’t been the smoothest and volatility is still something options traders have to deal with. Implied Volatility of options isn’t as high as it has been, but there are still situations where the short-term IV is a bit elevated and one still has to be aware of that when deciding which options to pursue.

Here is the Money Calendar image for this week:

Money Calendar 03 24 22

The markets have traded in a choppy manner with one day trading lower only to see buyers step back in take the markets higher.

With Money Calendar I am not worried about the chop so much so long as at then end of all that back and forth the security moves in the direction the data shows it has done 9 or 10 of the past 10 years.

The top performing sector as of late has been Oil and Energy. In fact, I have written about the seasonally bullish pattern in Oil and Energy that takes place between mid-Feb. to mid-July for the past handful of years.

Whether you are looking at scans in my online suite of options analysis tools, www.tomsoptiontools.com such as Money Calendar, Darknet or the Morning Reports lists if an oil stock is on a list and it catches your eye it might be worth researching a bit more or talking with your brokers about the suitability for the security or an options trade on it in your portfolio.  

App: Toms Option Tools

Toms Option Tools scan the markets for bullish and bearish trade opportunities using our proprietary scans and strategy algorithms. TTR Darknet finds bullish entries based on triple stack channel collisions. Money Calendar identifies seasonal patterns with at least 90% accuracy looking back 10 years. Weekly Cash Clock finds short term opportunities that last a week on average. Microcurrency Trader applies Darknet technology and moving averages to cryptocurrencies. Velocity Trader utilizes volume spike and Velocity indicators on custom stock lists. Quantum Scripts scans the markets for momentum acceleration signals and employs Quantum noise filters. Optimal Trader finds directional pre-earnings opportunities that are optimized for entry date, stock movement, and volatility surge. My Trades tracks the profit/loss of your trades, displays stock charts and risk graphs, creates new trades, and edits existing trades. Morning Report provides top 10 option rankings in 6 categories each day.


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