With Money Calendar You Have 3 Choices – Which One Works for You?

The Money Calendar scanner in my tools www.tomsoptiontools.com is one of the most innovative scanning means I have seen out there in the world of technical analysis and research. I teach this process/scan in my Mastery On Demand System Mastery Course.

The process I have taught for the past 10 years with Money Calendar, (since I made it available to my subscribers and students), is what I will discuss here. 

I’ll then tell you how I have tweaked a bit of that process as I deem it necessary with the seasonal shift in directional sentiment for the markets coming our way through September.

Quick Recap on What Money Calendar Does

This scanning tool does just that, it scans millions of data points to find stocks or ETF’s that have a history of trading higher or lower 90-100% of the time over a specific date range. By 90-100%, I mean it has trade higher or lower 9 or 10 of the past 10 years again, over that specific date range.

It takes the open price of the security on a ‘Start Date’ to the closing price of the security on an ‘End Date.’  If the security had that 90-100% success rate over the past 10 years it makes the list. I can then decide if I want to execute a pure equity trade or an option trade on it.

Typical Range of Days Analyzed for Money Calendar

The typical rules-based Money Calendar approach is to look for patterns that have a 90%-100% accuracy of moving higher or lower between a number of days from 20 to 30 days in length. 

When I look at the Money Calendar I see it has been showing me many more bearish patterns recently than bullish ones. A couple of trading ideas for bearish patterns is to ‘Short’ the stock or go long (buy-to-open) Put options.

I’ve heard from many students they aren’t able to short stocks due to cash or margin requirements and / or they aren’t able to qualify for the level of authorization needed for this type of trading with their brokerage.

Many folks are familiar with the knowledge of buying low and selling high so to trade put options, which needs the security to trade lower in order to see profits is counter intuitive to them: it’s hard for them to get their head wrapped around making money when a security drops in price.

Since my students/subscribers aren’t too keen on trading securities to the downside I had to go to work to help them out. The initial view in Money Calendar is showing a great many bearish opportunities over the month of September with the 20–30-day time frame. See image 1 below.

In order to help folks that are most comfortable and would rather trade securities in a bullish or up trend, I adjusted the range of days in the pattern for Money Calendar to search.

My first of two adjusted time frames is a 30–40-day pattern. When I make that change here is the Money Calendar result. See Figure 2 below.

The second of two adjustment views I made was for patterns 40-60 days in length.

That number of days view provides a great many more bullish candidates. See figure 3 below.

Having this data available and the visuals to back it up one now has a choice of either of these time frames to choose from.

3 Choices on What Time Frame to Use for a Trade

All these choices are presented with a point of view that is intended to help one decide what time frame they wish to research and that will then help determine if one is going to trade short-term patterns to the downside or trade in a more bullish fashion over an extended period of time; extended over the usual 20–30-day time frame some may be used to executing with Money Calendar.

Choice 1: Trade the 20-30-day Time Frame and be open to trading stock short or trade put options.

If one is familiar with shorting stock and that isn’t scary or uncomfortable for them that would mean they likely have the level of clearance with their broker and would continue to use Money Calendar with its original time frame.

Choice 2: Trade the 40-60-day Time Frame and just know the expected amount of time for the security to make its price move is longer.

Also note when trading options use the same rule of thumb and that is to consider an option expiration just past the further out End Date.

Choice 3: Wait Until this Shorter-Term Bearishness Passes

Remember, cash is a position.

If one doesn’t wish to or are uncomfortable with the strategy to short stock then don’t trade.

If one doesn’t want to or are uncertain about trying to make money when a security trades down in price they too, can sit on their hands and not worry about trying to trade in this bearish seasonal time frame for the markets.

My Choice on Whether to Trade or Not Trade in September

My choice is to continue to look for and consider trading, primarily option strategies.

I can sell stock short, and I do trade put options. But even if I find a bullish pattern on a security I like and are familiar within that bearish time frame with the 20-30-day time frame view I would still consider a bullish trade on that since the 10-yr historical data shows it has a favorable percentage rate of success.

My Mastery On Demand Series is my latest batch of recordings of Mastery Courses I and my Instructors ran online over a minimum of 6 weeks each where we are teaching specific means to execute my 3-step options trading plan: 1 – Spot an Opportunity, 2- Find an Acceptable Risk Option Trade and 3- Manage that Trade.

To enroll for one or all click on the banner below for more details and to make that happen – welcome aboard to all that do!

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App: Toms Option Tools

Toms Option Tools scan the markets for bullish and bearish trade opportunities using our proprietary scans and strategy algorithms. TTR Darknet finds bullish entries based on triple stack channel collisions. Money Calendar identifies seasonal patterns with at least 90% accuracy looking back 10 years. Weekly Cash Clock finds short term opportunities that last a week on average. Microcurrency Trader applies Darknet technology and moving averages to cryptocurrencies. Velocity Trader utilizes volume spike and Velocity indicators on custom stock lists. Quantum Scripts scans the markets for momentum acceleration signals and employs Quantum noise filters. Optimal Trader finds directional pre-earnings opportunities that are optimized for entry date, stock movement, and volatility surge. My Trades tracks the profit/loss of your trades, displays stock charts and risk graphs, creates new trades, and edits existing trades. Morning Report provides top 10 option rankings in 6 categories each day.

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You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the stock and options market. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

This is neither an offer to buy/sell/ or recommend a particular stock or option.

Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been actually executed, the results may have under or overcompensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with hindsight.

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